USD/JPY – Technical Analysis (H1)
USD/JPY has staged a local sell-off after forming a double top, echoing past Bank of Japan intervention patterns. The pair now sits at a critical juncture between a fresh push toward 160.000 and further downside to 158.000.
The pair has experienced a local sell-off, yet a similar picture was observed during the Bank of Japan’s landmark intervention. Price subsequently resumed its advance and posted a new high. There are almost no fundamental reasons to expect the uptrend to fail this time. The caveat is important: the latest sharp correction was driven by the formation of a double top — a relatively strong reversal signal that cannot be ignored.
Key Levels:
□ 1. Psychological resistance: 160.000
□ 2. Downside target: 158.000
Primary Scenario:
Transition into a new upward wave targeting the round psychological level of 160.000.
Alternative Scenario:
Continuation of the decline toward 158.000.
Analyst Commentary:
Wait for confirming signals before committing to either scenario.
니콜라이 크리시토포프는 Investizo의 마켓 애널리스트로, 금융시장 업계에서 15년 이상의 경력과 10년이 넘는 트레이딩 경험을 보유하고 있습니다. 그의 주요 관심 분야는 외환 및 암호화폐 시장, 기술적 분석, 데이 트레이딩, 시장 행태입니다.